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Investment Report by Rick McNamara
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If the last three months of volatility and general turmoil has left you feeling anxious and uncomfortable, you are justified - this year is off to the worst start for the market since 1970. The markets cascading fall may seem reminiscent of the early 2000 technology stock decline that precipitated the last bear market. On the second to last day of this quarter, eight months after the Dow Jones and S&P 500 reached all-time highs, all major U.S. markets and global markets slipped into bear territory (down 20%), demonstrated by the triple whammy of rising oil prices (38% in 3 months), a worsening housing slump, and an unresolved crisis in credit markets.
However, this is not unusual - there have been nine similar drops in the market since 1960. The 10.2% decline in the Dow Jones makes this its worst June since 1930. During the roller coaster ride that characterized this past quarter, the market had exemplified remarkable resilience in the face of mounting worries, with the Dow Jones posting a 9% gain for the quarter on May 2nd. Unfortunately, the continuous rise in oil prices rekindled fears of inflation, sending all of the major indices down soon after. The Dow Jones decreased by 13.38%, the NASDAQ by 13.55%, and the S&P 500 by 11.91% - all in negative territory for the year. In a reversal from the past five years, almost all global markets (with the exception of Latin America) fared worse, as the broad based MSCI EAFE lost 17.35% in local currency (a loss of 10.96% in U.S. dollars).
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To Retire or Un-Retire? Ways to Consider the Question
Add retirement to the long list of things Baby Boomers are changing their minds about.
An April 2006 study by Zogby International and the MetLife Mature Market Institute found that a significant number of older Americans are revising their ideas about their post-career years. The study found that 78% of respondents aged 55-59 are working or looking for work, as are 60% of 60-65 year-olds and 37% of 66-70 year-olds. Across all three age groups, roughly 15% of workers have actually accepted retirement benefits from a previous employer, and then chose to return to work (or are seeking work). Called the “working retired”, these workers represent 11% of 55-59 year-olds, 16% of 60-65 year-olds and 19% of 66-70 year-olds.
A decision to return to work isn’t necessarily a negative. It’s not always a sign that older Americans are having trouble making ends meet. Some work simply because they want to change careers for a new challenge.
Yet delaying retirement or returning to the workforce from retirement is a decision that should be made after a thorough financial review.
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